Will I be a regular user of this website in 2022?
Mini
5
Ṁ147Jun 23
37%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I will set a reminder on my calendar to update this market at the end of 2022. If the reminder is the first time I've thought about the website for at least 2 months, I will update the market to "No." Otherwise I will update it to "Yes."
I will seed the initial bet at 20% probability with $50 of my own fake money.
Dec 29, 4:16am: Initial seeding proved difficult. It would be nice if you could add an ante to your market creation, since there's less reason to bet on a market without an ante (you are at the mercy of other people also betting, otherwise you simply lose your money)
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a new COVID variant with an impact greater than Omicron in 2022 or 2023?
46% chance
Will I finish the task by 2024?
55% chance
Will This New Technology Prove Effective for Internet Users by 2025?
50% chance
Will I finish the task by 2024?
50% chance
Will I finish the task by 2024?
50% chance
Will I finish the task by 2024?
50% chance
Will I finish the task before 2024?
50% chance
Will I finish the task before 2024?
50% chance
Will R.M. still work at T. by the end of 2022?
57% chance
Will I finish the task by 2024?
50% chance