[ACX2024] Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election?
Mini
0
Jan 2
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if any members of the Electoral College vote for a candidate other than the candidate to whom they had pledged their vote in the 2024 presidential election, and their vote is not invalidated, according to reporting by credible sources.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will the runner-up in the 2024 US Presidential Election accept their defeat by Dec 31, 2024?
78% chance
Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee for president in 2024?
60% chance
Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?
49% chance
"At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Joe Biden is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024?"
49% chance
At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Joe Biden is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024?
"At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Donald Trump is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024?"
57% chance
"Will there be any change in the composition of the Supreme Court in 2023?"
48% chance
At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Joe Biden is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2025?
If Kamala Harris becomes the Democratic nominee, will she win the 2024 election?
34% chance
Will Dwayne Johnson win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
18% chance